Friday, May 14, 2010

Market Indicators

New Lows are outnumbering new highs on all but the longest time-frame. Oversold stocks are also outnumbering overbought stocks, but there aren't many at the extreme or ridiculous levels, so it seems to me the selling pressure could continue for a while yet. Along the same lines, the % of stocks above the 20 day moving average is low and falling, but hasn't hit an extreme low yet (this is a similar, though not identical indicator to Worden's T2108). Meanwhile 2/3 of US stocks are above their 200 day average, which in my interpretation means that the majority of stocks still have major support levels below their current prices. This means there could be a decent bounce or up-move in the next week or so. Keep an eye on the all-time highs. If they put in double-tops (MED is at the risk of doing this) or sell off heavily, then watch out; but, if they can put in bases by moving sideways then there's the opportunity for big gains when the next bounce happens.

US Stocks Making New Highs and Lows
14-May-2010
PeriodNew
Highs
New
Lows
Hi vs LoHi/Lo
Ratio
20 day1591900.3
50 day1431360.3
52 week123310.7
All-Time25987.4
 1 Out of 5038 US Stocks on FINVIZ  2 From uglychart.com as of yesterday's close

US Stocks in Overbought and Oversold Conditions
14-May-2010
LevelOverboughtOversoldOverbought vs OversoldOB/OS
Ratio
Mild
RSI 60 vs 40
38311730.3
Moderate
RSI 70 vs 30
901830.5
Extreme
RSI 80 vs 20
12180.7
Ridiculous
RSI 90 vs 10
010.0
 1 Out of 5038 US Stocks on FINVIZ

US Stocks in Relation to their Moving Averages
14-May-2010


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