Tuesday, September 28, 2010

Market Update

More than half of the US stocks are above their 200-day moving average for the first time in a long time. My trend tables below show uptrends as far as the eye can see... except for the US dollar! Cash has been losing purchasing power by the day. There isn't major support from a technical standpoint until around 22.00. Here's a weekly chart:




Trend Direction by Broad Index
27-Sep-2010
(13-Sep-2010)
IndexSlope of
20-day SMA
Slope of
50-day SMA
Slope of
200-day SMA
Slope of
200-day EMA
QQQQ
Nasdaq
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
SPY
S&P500
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
IWM
Russell 2000
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
EWC
Canada
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(flat)
UP
(up)
EFA
MSCI EAFE
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
FLAT
(flat)
UP
(up)
FXI
China
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
FLAT
(flat)
UP
(up)
GLD
Gold
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UUP
US Dollar
DOWN
(up)
DOWN
(down)
FLAT
(up)
DOWN
(flat)
TLT
US Long Bonds
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
 Numbers in parentheses are from 10 trading-days ago
 SMA = Simple Moving Average, EMA = Exponential Moving Average

US Stocks Making New Highs and Lows
27-Sep-2010
PeriodNew
Highs
New
Lows
Hi vs LoHi/Lo
Ratio
20 day110391069.8
50 day15985610.7
52 week12472211.2
All-Time
stocks only
2
60134.6
 1 Out of 5071 US Stocks on FINVIZ  2 From uglychart.com based on the previous close (funds removed)

Getting overbought...

US Stocks in Overbought and Oversold Conditions
27-Sep-2010
LevelOverboughtOversoldOverbought vs OversoldOB/OS
Ratio
Mild
RSI(14)=60 vs 40
16483095.3
Moderate
RSI(14)=70 vs 30
400449.1
Extreme
RSI(14)=80 vs 20
60512.0
Ridiculous
RSI(14)=90 vs 10
70Inf
 1 Out of 5071 US Stocks on FINVIZ

% above 20 and T2108 are high so some price consolidation would be a good thing. % above 50 and 200 are both bullish as more than half of the stocks have uptrending charts.

US Stocks in Relation to their Moving Averages
27-Sep-2010
Worden's T2108 on 27-Sep-2010 = 81.01

Financials are still flat on the 200-day timeframe...

Trend Direction by Sector
27-Sep-2010
(13-Sep-2010)
IndexSlope of
20-day SMA
Slope of
50-day SMA
Slope of
200-day SMA
Slope of
200-day EMA
XLY
Consumer Discretionary
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
XLP
Consumer Staples
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(flat)
UP
(up)
XLE
Energy
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(flat)
UP
(up)
XLF
Financial Services
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
FLAT
(flat)
FLAT
(flat)
XLV
Health Care
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
FLAT
(flat)
UP
(flat)
XLI
Industrial
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
RWR
US Real Estate
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
RWX
Intl Real Estate
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
XLK
Technology
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
FLAT
(flat)
UP
(up)
IYZ
Telecom
UP
(flat)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
XLU
Utilities
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
 Trend in parentheses is from 10 trading-days ago
 SMA = Simple Moving Average, EMA = Exponential Moving Average

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