Thursday, September 16, 2010

Market update

Uptrends across the board for equities, which are getting overbought though they haven't reached extreme levels yet. The majority of stocks (51%) are below their 200-day moving average which is still bearish, but the Hi/Lo ratio favors the upside on all timeframes. There has been weakening in the US Dollar and Bonds, but Gold is holding up.

Trend Direction by Broad Index
15-Sep-2010
(31-Aug-2010)
IndexSlope of
20-day SMA
Slope of
50-day SMA
Slope of
200-day SMA
Slope of
200-day EMA
QQQQ
Nasdaq
UP
(down)
UP
(down)
UP
(down)
UP
(down)
SPY
S&P500
UP
(down)
UP
(down)
UP
(down)
UP
(down)
IWM
Russell 2000
UP
(down)
UP
(down)
UP
(up)
UP
(down)
EWC
Canada
UP
(flat)
UP
(down)
UP
(flat)
UP
(flat)
EFA
MSCI EAFE
UP
(down)
UP
(down)
FLAT
(down)
UP
(down)
FXI
China
UP
(down)
UP
(down)
FLAT
(down)
UP
(down)
GLD
Gold
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UUP
US Dollar
DOWN
(up)
DOWN
(flat)
UP
(up)
FLAT
(flat)
TLT
US Long Bonds
DOWN
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
 Numbers in parentheses are from 10 trading-days ago
 SMA = Simple Moving Average, EMA = Exponential Moving Average

US Stocks Making New Highs and Lows
16-Sep-2010
PeriodNew
Highs
New
Lows
Hi vs LoHi/Lo
Ratio
20 day1124235.4
50 day170183.9
52 week126112.4
All-Time
stocks only
2
77184.3
 1 Out of 5077 US Stocks on FINVIZ  2 From uglychart.com based on the previous close (funds removed)

US Stocks in Overbought and Oversold Conditions
16-Sep-2010
LevelOverboughtOversoldOverbought vs OversoldOB/OS
Ratio
Mild
RSI(14)=60 vs 40
16143574.5
Moderate
RSI(14)=70 vs 30
330694.8
Extreme
RSI(14)=80 vs 20
4585.6
Ridiculous
RSI(14)=90 vs 10
313.0
 1 Out of 5077 US Stocks on FINVIZ

US Stocks in Relation to their Moving Averages
16-Sep-2010
Worden's T2108 on 15-Sep-2010 = 75.6

Trend Direction by Sector
15-Sep-2010
(31-Aug-2010)
IndexSlope of
20-day SMA
Slope of
50-day SMA
Slope of
200-day SMA
Slope of
200-day EMA
XLY
Consumer Discretionary
UP
(down)
UP
(down)
UP
(up)
UP
(flat)
XLP
Consumer Staples
UP
(down)
UP
(down)
UP
(flat)
UP
(flat)
XLE
Energy
UP
(down)
UP
(down)
FLAT
(down)
FLAT
(down)
XLF
Financial Services
UP
(down)
UP
(down)
FLAT
(down)
FLAT
(down)
XLV
Health Care
UP
(down)
UP
(down)
FLAT
(down)
UP
(down)
XLI
Industrial
UP
(down)
UP
(down)
UP
(up)
UP
(down)
RWR
US Real Estate
UP
(flat)
UP
(flat)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
RWX
Intl Real Estate
UP
(flat)
UP
(up)
UP
(flat)
UP
(up)
XLK
Technology
UP
(down)
UP
(down)
FLAT
(down)
UP
(down)
IYZ
Telecom
UP
(flat)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
XLU
Utilities
UP
(flat)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
 Trend in parentheses is from 10 trading-days ago
 SMA = Simple Moving Average, EMA = Exponential Moving Average

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