Thursday, September 9, 2010

Market update

The major indices still have a mix of up and down-trends depending on the timeframe, but what is most interesting is that every sector-ETF had a trend upgrade this week vs. a week ago. Well, all except Utilities which are already UP or FLAT on all timeframes. Stocks are more overbought than oversold, but the numbers are yet at levels where a reversal should be imminent. I'm still watching the % above the 200-day moving average to see if it can make its way over 50% for the first time in a long time. It still has work to do.

Trend Direction by Broad Index
08-Sep-2010
(24-Aug-2010)
IndexSlope of
20-day SMA
Slope of
50-day SMA
Slope of
200-day SMA
Slope of
200-day EMA
QQQQ
Nasdaq
DOWN
(down)
UP
(down)
UP
(up)
UP
(down)
SPY
S&P500
DOWN
(down)
UP
(down)
UP
(down)
UP
(down)
IWM
Russell 2000
DOWN
(down)
DOWN
(down)
UP
(up)
FLAT
(down)
EWC
Canada
UP
(down)
UP
(down)
UP
(down)
UP
(down)
EFA
MSCI EAFE
DOWN
(down)
UP
(up)
DOWN
(down)
FLAT
(down)
FXI
China
DOWN
(down)
FLAT
(down)
DOWN
(down)
UP
(down)
GLD
Gold
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UUP
US Dollar
UP
(up)
DOWN
(flat)
UP
(up)
FLAT
(flat)
TLT
US Long Bonds
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
 Numbers in parentheses are from 10 trading-days ago
 SMA = Simple Moving Average, EMA = Exponential Moving Average

US Stocks Making New Highs and Lows
09-Sep-2010
PeriodNew
Highs
New
Lows
Hi vs LoHi/Lo
Ratio
20 day18591396.2
50 day1413934.4
52 week1175483.6
All-Time
stocks only
2
67322.1
 1 Out of 5077 US Stocks on FINVIZ  2 From uglychart.com based on the previous close (funds removed)

US Stocks in Overbought and Oversold Conditions
09-Sep-2010
LevelOverboughtOversoldOverbought vs OversoldOB/OS
Ratio
Mild
RSI(14)=60 vs 40
10375002.1
Moderate
RSI(14)=70 vs 30
1951002.0
Extreme
RSI(14)=80 vs 20
36103.6
Ridiculous
RSI(14)=90 vs 10
515.0
 1 Out of 5077 US Stocks on FINVIZ

US Stocks in Relation to their Moving Averages
09-Sep-2010
Worden's T2108 on 08-Sep-2010 = 68.4

Trend Direction by Sector
08-Sep-2010
(24-Aug-2010)
IndexSlope of
20-day SMA
Slope of
50-day SMA
Slope of
200-day SMA
Slope of
200-day EMA
XLY
Consumer Discretionary
FLAT
(down)
UP
(down)
UP
(up)
UP
(flat)
XLP
Consumer Staples
FLAT
(down)
UP
(down)
FLAT
(flat)
UP
(flat)
XLE
Energy
FLAT
(down)
UP
(down)
DOWN
(down)
DOWN
(down)
XLF
Financial Services
FLAT
(down)
FLAT
(down)
FLAT
(down)
FLAT
(down)
XLV
Health Care
FLAT
(down)
FLAT
(down)
FLAT
(down)
FLAT
(down)
XLI
Industrial
FLAT
(down)
UP
(down)
UP
(up)
UP
(down)
RWR
US Real Estate
UP
(down)
UP
(down)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
RWX
Intl Real Estate
UP
(down)
UP
(up)
UP
(flat)
UP
(up)
XLK
Technology
FLAT
(down)
FLAT
(down)
FLAT
(down)
FLAT
(down)
IYZ
Telecom
UP
(down)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
XLU
Utilities
FLAT
(flat)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
UP
(up)
 Trend in parentheses is from 10 trading-days ago
 SMA = Simple Moving Average, EMA = Exponential Moving Average

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