Saturday, October 26, 2013

Markets at Record Highs

Stocks continue to press higher, and US small caps hit a new All-Time High. My Weinstein indicator score hit a multi-year high as well. Below you can see the current indicators and a chart of the indicator score over the last two years.



IndicatorStatusBias
Stage AnalysisS&P 500 above MA(30)Bullish
Advance-DeclineNYAD above MA(30), new high recentlyBullish
Market MomentumNYAD MA(200) consolidating and well above zero.Neutral+
Highs vs LowsNYHL positive for several consecutive weeks. Well above 100.Bullish
World MarketsVEU is above MA(30) and making new highs.Bullish
Market LeaderAAPL is once again above a rising MA(30)Bullish
Price-to-DividendS&P500 dividend yield below 1930-2011 average, but higher than most data since 1995.Somewhat Bearish
Contrary OpinionAAII sentiment survey is mostly bullish and neutral. Bears at an extreme low.Somewhat Bearish


Taking a wider look at international markets and other assets (bonds, gold), we see that stocks continue to be the place to be. Leading areas are US small caps (IWM), Japan (EWJ), Europe (IEV), and US large caps (SPY): 

Bonds, gold, and Latin American stocks are lagging:

Don't fight the tape

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